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Bayesian constraints on the global 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn

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Abstract

  • The birth of the first luminous sources and the ensuing epoch of reionization are best studied via the redshifted 21-cm emission line, the signature of the first two imprinting the last. In this work, we present a fully Bayesian method, HIBAYES, for extracting the faint, global (sky-averaged) 21-cm signal from the much brighter foreground emission. We show that a simplified (but plausible) Gaussian model of the 21-cm emission from the Cosmic Dawn epoch (15 ? z ? 30), parametrized by an amplitude A_{H I}, a frequency peak ? _{H I} and a width s _{H I}, can be extracted even in the presence of a structured foreground frequency spectrum (parametrized as a seventh-order polynomial), provided sufficient signal-to-noise (400 h of observation with a single dipole). We apply our method to an early, 19-min-long observation from the Large aperture Experiment to detect the Dark Ages, constraining the 21-cm signal amplitude and width to be -890 6.5 MHz (corresponding to ?z > 1.9 at redshift z ? 20) respectively at the 95-per cent confidence level in the range 13.2 6.5 MHz (corresponding to ?z > 1.9 at redshift z ? 20) respectively at the 95-per cent confidence level in the range 13.2 ? > 50 MHz).

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  • 2016

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